Some shockers abound here, but it mostly went according to plan.
Drama Series: Breaking Bad (need I say more?)
Comedy Series: Modern Family (fourth consecutive win. Can it pull a Frasier next year?)
Miniseries/TV Movie: Behind the Candelabra (well, duh.)
Variety Series: The Colbert Report (finally Daily Show lost, good job for Stephen Colbert)
Reality-Competition: The Voice (well deserved)
Actor - Drama: Jeff Daniels - The Newsroom (surprise, but well deserved)
Actor - Comedy: Jim Parsons - The Big Bang Theory (...and people thought I was foolish betting against Louis C.K.)
Actor - Miniseries: Michael Douglas - Behind the Candelabra (who else?)
Actress - Drama: Claire Danes - Homeland (...and people said the same thing about be betting against Vera Farmiga)
Actress - Comedy: Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep (who else?)
Actress - Miniseries: Laura Linney - The Big C: Hereafter (good capper to her run on the show)
Sup. Actor - Drama: Bobby Cannavale - Boardwalk Empire (big shock, apparently the Emmys love Boardwalk Empire more than I ever imagined.)
Sup. Actor - Comedy: Tony Hale - Veep (more Veep love)
Sup. Actor - Miniseries: James Cromwell - American Horror Story: Asylum (well deserved)
Sup. Actress - Drama: Anna Gunn - Breaking Bad (I still think they voted for her just because her last name is 'Gunn')
Sup. Actress - Comedy: Merritt Wever - Nurse Jackie (very pleasant surprise)
Sup. Actress - Miniseries: Ellen Burstyn - Political Animals (biggest surprise of the night, I thought Sarah Paulson was a lock)
Directing - Drama: David Fincher - House of Cards (extremely well deserved)
Directing - Comedy: Gail Mancuso - Modern Family (dang Modern Family...)
Directing - Miniseries: Steven Soderbergh - Behind the Candelabra (well, obviously...)
Writing - Drama: Henry Bromell - Homeland (posthumous win, well deserved)
Writing - Comedy: Tina Fey & Tracey Wigfield - 30 Rock (good consolation prize for final year of 30 Rock)
Writing - Miniseries: Abi Morgan - The Hour (arguably biggest surprise of the night. I mean, seriously...)
Sunday, 22 September 2013
Saturday, 21 September 2013
Emmy Deliberation ~ Final Predictions
Drama Series: Breaking Bad, alt. Homeland
Comedy Series: Modern Family, alt. The Big Bang Theory
Miniseries/TV Movie: Behind the Candelabra, alt. American Horror Story: Asylum
Variety Series: The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, alt. The Colbert Report
Reality-Competition: The Amazing Race, alt. The Voice
Actor - Drama: Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad, alt. Damian Lewis - Homeland
Actor - Comedy: Jim Parsons - The Big Bang Theory, alt. Louis C.K. - Louie
Actor - Miniseries: Michael Douglas - Behind the Candelabra, alt. Matt Damon - Behind the Candelabra
Actress - Drama: Claire Danes - Homeland, alt. Vera Farmiga - Bates Motel
Actress - Comedy: Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep, alt. Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation
Actress - Miniseries: Jessica Lange - American Horror Story: Asylum, alt. Elisabeth Moss - Top of the Lake
Sup. Actor - Drama: Aaron Paul - Breaking Bad, alt. Mandy Patinkin - Homeland
Sup. Actor - Comedy: Ty Burrell - Modern Family, alt. Ed O'Neill - Modern Family
Sup. Actor - Miniseries: James Cromwell - American Horror Story: Asylum, alt. Zachary Quinto - American Horror Story: Asylum
Sup. Actress - Drama: Maggie Smith - Downton Abbey, alt. Anna Gunn - Breaking Bad
Sup. Actress - Comedy: Jane Krakowski - 30 Rock, alt. Julie Bowen - Modern Family
Sup. Actress - Miniseries: Sarah Paulson - American Horror Story: Asylum, alt. Ellen Burstyn - Political Animals
Directing - Drama: David Fincher - House of Cards, alt. Michelle MacLaren - Breaking Bad
Directing - Comedy: Beth McCarthy-Miller - 30 Rock, alt. Louis C.K. - Louie
Directing - Miniseries: Steven Soderbergh - Behind the Candelabra, alt. Jane Campion & Garth Davis - Top of the Lake
Writing - Drama: David Benioff & D.B. Weiss - Game of Thrones, alt. Henry Bromell - Homeland
Writing - Comedy: Tina Fey & Tracey Wigfield - 30 Rock, alt. Louis C.K. - Louie
Writing - Miniseries: Richard LaGravenese - Behind the Candelabra, alt. Jane Campion & Gerard Lee - Top of the Lake
Comedy Series: Modern Family, alt. The Big Bang Theory
Miniseries/TV Movie: Behind the Candelabra, alt. American Horror Story: Asylum
Variety Series: The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, alt. The Colbert Report
Reality-Competition: The Amazing Race, alt. The Voice
Actor - Drama: Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad, alt. Damian Lewis - Homeland
Actor - Comedy: Jim Parsons - The Big Bang Theory, alt. Louis C.K. - Louie
Actor - Miniseries: Michael Douglas - Behind the Candelabra, alt. Matt Damon - Behind the Candelabra
Actress - Drama: Claire Danes - Homeland, alt. Vera Farmiga - Bates Motel
Actress - Comedy: Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep, alt. Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation
Actress - Miniseries: Jessica Lange - American Horror Story: Asylum, alt. Elisabeth Moss - Top of the Lake
Sup. Actor - Drama: Aaron Paul - Breaking Bad, alt. Mandy Patinkin - Homeland
Sup. Actor - Comedy: Ty Burrell - Modern Family, alt. Ed O'Neill - Modern Family
Sup. Actor - Miniseries: James Cromwell - American Horror Story: Asylum, alt. Zachary Quinto - American Horror Story: Asylum
Sup. Actress - Drama: Maggie Smith - Downton Abbey, alt. Anna Gunn - Breaking Bad
Sup. Actress - Comedy: Jane Krakowski - 30 Rock, alt. Julie Bowen - Modern Family
Sup. Actress - Miniseries: Sarah Paulson - American Horror Story: Asylum, alt. Ellen Burstyn - Political Animals
Directing - Drama: David Fincher - House of Cards, alt. Michelle MacLaren - Breaking Bad
Directing - Comedy: Beth McCarthy-Miller - 30 Rock, alt. Louis C.K. - Louie
Directing - Miniseries: Steven Soderbergh - Behind the Candelabra, alt. Jane Campion & Garth Davis - Top of the Lake
Writing - Drama: David Benioff & D.B. Weiss - Game of Thrones, alt. Henry Bromell - Homeland
Writing - Comedy: Tina Fey & Tracey Wigfield - 30 Rock, alt. Louis C.K. - Louie
Writing - Miniseries: Richard LaGravenese - Behind the Candelabra, alt. Jane Campion & Gerard Lee - Top of the Lake
Thursday, 19 September 2013
Emmy Deliberation ~ Series
Ladies and Gentlemen, prepare for the awesomeness that is... predicting Best Drama Series and Comedy Series at the Emmys.
Breaking Bad is the dramatic/comedic series about a lung cancer stricken doctor who tries to feed his family by cooking meth with his former student. This right here is your winner. The show has never been more popular, and I don't think that it ever will be any more popular. The final episodes are airing now, also with phenomenal reviews from critics everywhere. Sure there are the haters, and the fools that would rather vote for Homeland, myself included until just recently, but Breaking Bad has everything perfectly lined up for it to have an obvious victory.
Downton Abbey is the drama series that all the snobby British people will go gaga for, and for good reason. Personally, I think people are severely underestimating the power of the Abbey. Let's not forget how many nominations it got, and how it won Best Miniseries during it's first year. The competition is extremely fierce this year, and while I do think that a Downton sweep could still happen, I think it's highly unlikely, since it is really only a two-horse race this year.
Game of Thrones is the drama series that all the nerdy people will go gaga for, and for good reason. Even on the subscription-only HBO, it manages to pull massive ratings and a huge fanbase. People are just bananas, mystified by the show. Even if one of the episodes got a bit of controversy this year because of the violent content, I think that this just upped the love for the show (irony, right?). With such a love for the show, why is it not in the Top 2? Because of the Sci-Fi/Fantasy bias. I think that Thrones could break through, but X-Files never did. And I think that the older Emmy voters may not be able to sick their teeth into the show. Give it a few years, and if the massive love for the show continues, a Drama Series win could be in the bag... but in a few years.
Homeland was the show that won Drama Series last year. It's a popular, and a beloved show, and even if it's last two seasons haven't been as advantageous as its freshman season, I thought that it was a pretty excellent show last year. If history is going to repeat itself, which is a real possibility, then I could see Homeland taking it on Sunday night, but I think that the Breaking Bad opportunity is too much to pass up.
House of Cards made history by being the first show not to be released on a standard television network, instead releasing on Netflix, to manage a Best Series nomination. A true feat, given how long it took the Emmys to finally award cable series. And therein lies the tragedy. Because it's a Netflix show, the bias may simply be too strong, given how limited Arrested Development's nods were this year (though that could be because they simply overgrown the show, or because of the mixed reviews the fourth season got). David Fincher is en route to win Directing, but sadly, they will just have to be content with that. Maybe next year...
Mad Men is a series at won four years in a row, and yet tragically never won anything for any actor thus far. With the show being on for two final years, they are not out quite yet, but still with a whopping nineteen straight losses last year, I think that the show is down for the count. But again, fingers crossed for the final two years.
Will Win: Breaking Bad
Should Win: Homeland
Could Win: Game of Thrones, Homeland
30 Rock has ended it's run last January, with great ratings and good reviews from critics. Granted that the Emmys like giving goodbye hugs to T.V. shows, it could possibly pull an upset. But when a show stops winning, it is hard for it to get back into it. And even though the previous three years the show has never won a single award, the Creative Arts Awards last Sunday broke the trend when it won Casting for a Comedy Series. While I will love the show long after it's off the air, I think that Tina Fey will just have to be happy with only the seven she currently has, how few those are indeed!
As a The Big Bang Theory nerd, I am always happy to see it succeed in the awards. Jim Parsons' two wins were very well deserved, he is just perfect for the role. The show is even a ratings behemoth, week after week pulling in impressive numbers, and will continue to reap giant numbers in the seventh season. While it may be a bit too "nerdy" for lack of better word for the Emmy voters, it is a popular show, the next Friends critics say, so I think that it should be a strong possibility.
Last year, Girls was the it show, Lena Dunham was the it girl and now... not. I think that the show is still good and even more insulting than ever (but I mean that in a good way), this show is sadly bringing up the rear. Let's hope the third season will rock our world!
Whereas Big Bang is being called the next 'Friends', Louie is being called the next 'Seinfeld'. In regards to the fact that the show has a comedian and that they have little to no storyline, but still it never feels like a rip-off. Louie is a strong example of how bravely it juggles all the comedic elements. People could want to vote for it because, well, Seinfeld only one once in Comedy Series (a huge travesty), but I think that the incumbent show will prevail again.
Cut to... Modern Family is the reigning king in the category, winning three times for Comedy Series in a row and dominating the awards year after year. While Modern Family fatigue is settling in on many people, myself included, the show is popular, it's a juggernaut, it's still well loved, history likes to repeat itself, I think that simply because every other show seems "undeserving".
Veep could pull an upset. It has a lot of things that the Emmy voters love. Politics, humor, Julia Louis-Dreyfus. All it needs is Star Trek references at it will run the whole gamut. It's found it's voice more from the first year, it has a dedicated fanbase. While I find Veep overrated, and nothing like "The West Wing with laughs" like critics say, but a surprise in this category is not as ridiculous as it sounds.
Will Win: Modern Family
Should Win: The Big Bang Theory
Could Win: 30 Rock, Big Bang, Louie, Veep
Should Have Been Nominated: New Girl
Breaking Bad is the dramatic/comedic series about a lung cancer stricken doctor who tries to feed his family by cooking meth with his former student. This right here is your winner. The show has never been more popular, and I don't think that it ever will be any more popular. The final episodes are airing now, also with phenomenal reviews from critics everywhere. Sure there are the haters, and the fools that would rather vote for Homeland, myself included until just recently, but Breaking Bad has everything perfectly lined up for it to have an obvious victory.
Downton Abbey is the drama series that all the snobby British people will go gaga for, and for good reason. Personally, I think people are severely underestimating the power of the Abbey. Let's not forget how many nominations it got, and how it won Best Miniseries during it's first year. The competition is extremely fierce this year, and while I do think that a Downton sweep could still happen, I think it's highly unlikely, since it is really only a two-horse race this year.
Game of Thrones is the drama series that all the nerdy people will go gaga for, and for good reason. Even on the subscription-only HBO, it manages to pull massive ratings and a huge fanbase. People are just bananas, mystified by the show. Even if one of the episodes got a bit of controversy this year because of the violent content, I think that this just upped the love for the show (irony, right?). With such a love for the show, why is it not in the Top 2? Because of the Sci-Fi/Fantasy bias. I think that Thrones could break through, but X-Files never did. And I think that the older Emmy voters may not be able to sick their teeth into the show. Give it a few years, and if the massive love for the show continues, a Drama Series win could be in the bag... but in a few years.
Homeland was the show that won Drama Series last year. It's a popular, and a beloved show, and even if it's last two seasons haven't been as advantageous as its freshman season, I thought that it was a pretty excellent show last year. If history is going to repeat itself, which is a real possibility, then I could see Homeland taking it on Sunday night, but I think that the Breaking Bad opportunity is too much to pass up.
House of Cards made history by being the first show not to be released on a standard television network, instead releasing on Netflix, to manage a Best Series nomination. A true feat, given how long it took the Emmys to finally award cable series. And therein lies the tragedy. Because it's a Netflix show, the bias may simply be too strong, given how limited Arrested Development's nods were this year (though that could be because they simply overgrown the show, or because of the mixed reviews the fourth season got). David Fincher is en route to win Directing, but sadly, they will just have to be content with that. Maybe next year...
Mad Men is a series at won four years in a row, and yet tragically never won anything for any actor thus far. With the show being on for two final years, they are not out quite yet, but still with a whopping nineteen straight losses last year, I think that the show is down for the count. But again, fingers crossed for the final two years.
Will Win: Breaking Bad
Should Win: Homeland
Could Win: Game of Thrones, Homeland
30 Rock has ended it's run last January, with great ratings and good reviews from critics. Granted that the Emmys like giving goodbye hugs to T.V. shows, it could possibly pull an upset. But when a show stops winning, it is hard for it to get back into it. And even though the previous three years the show has never won a single award, the Creative Arts Awards last Sunday broke the trend when it won Casting for a Comedy Series. While I will love the show long after it's off the air, I think that Tina Fey will just have to be happy with only the seven she currently has, how few those are indeed!
As a The Big Bang Theory nerd, I am always happy to see it succeed in the awards. Jim Parsons' two wins were very well deserved, he is just perfect for the role. The show is even a ratings behemoth, week after week pulling in impressive numbers, and will continue to reap giant numbers in the seventh season. While it may be a bit too "nerdy" for lack of better word for the Emmy voters, it is a popular show, the next Friends critics say, so I think that it should be a strong possibility.
Last year, Girls was the it show, Lena Dunham was the it girl and now... not. I think that the show is still good and even more insulting than ever (but I mean that in a good way), this show is sadly bringing up the rear. Let's hope the third season will rock our world!
Whereas Big Bang is being called the next 'Friends', Louie is being called the next 'Seinfeld'. In regards to the fact that the show has a comedian and that they have little to no storyline, but still it never feels like a rip-off. Louie is a strong example of how bravely it juggles all the comedic elements. People could want to vote for it because, well, Seinfeld only one once in Comedy Series (a huge travesty), but I think that the incumbent show will prevail again.
Cut to... Modern Family is the reigning king in the category, winning three times for Comedy Series in a row and dominating the awards year after year. While Modern Family fatigue is settling in on many people, myself included, the show is popular, it's a juggernaut, it's still well loved, history likes to repeat itself, I think that simply because every other show seems "undeserving".
Veep could pull an upset. It has a lot of things that the Emmy voters love. Politics, humor, Julia Louis-Dreyfus. All it needs is Star Trek references at it will run the whole gamut. It's found it's voice more from the first year, it has a dedicated fanbase. While I find Veep overrated, and nothing like "The West Wing with laughs" like critics say, but a surprise in this category is not as ridiculous as it sounds.
Will Win: Modern Family
Should Win: The Big Bang Theory
Could Win: 30 Rock, Big Bang, Louie, Veep
Should Have Been Nominated: New Girl
Monday, 16 September 2013
Creative Arts Award Winners
Here are the winners. If I got one of my predictions wrong, then I will cross it out and put the correct winner beside it. Hope you enjoy reading.
Reality Series:Shark Tank Undercover Boss
Reality Host:Tom Bergeron Heidi Klum & Tim Gunn - Project Runway
Variety Special:Louis C.K.: Oh My God! The Kennedy Center Honors
Documentary Series: American Masters
Animated Program: South Park
Voice Acting:Alex Borstein Lily Tomlin - An Apology to Elephants
Short-Format Animation:Robot Chicken Mickey Mouse "Croissant de Triomphe"
Special Class Program:70th Golden Globe Awards 66th Tony Awards.
Guest Actor - Drama:Nathan Lane Dan Bucatinsky - Scandal
Guest Actress - Drama:Jane Fonda Carrie Preston - The Good Wife
Guest Actor - Comedy: Bob Newhart
Guest Actress - Comedy:Elaine Stritch Melissa Leo - Louie
Art Direction - Multi-Camera:How I Met Your Mother Masterchef
Art Direction - Single-Camera:Game of Thrones Boardwalk Empire
Casting - Drama:Downton Abbey House of Cards
Casting - Comedy: 30 Rock
Cinematography - Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Cinematography - Single-Camera:Breaking Bad House of Cards
Costuming - Series:Game of Thrones The Borgias
Directing - Variety Special:Louis C.K.: Oh My God! Louis J. Horovitz - The Kennedy Center Honors
Hairstyling - Single-Camera:Downton Abbey Boardwalk Empire
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Drama:Game of Thrones Breaking Bad "Gliding Over All"
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Comedy:30 Rock The Office "Finale"
Picture Editing (Multi-Camera) - Comedy: How I Met Your Mother
Main Title Design:American Horror Story: Asylum Da Vinci's Demons
Makeup: Game of Thrones
Music Composition: Downton Abbey
Sound Editing:Breaking Bad Boardwalk Empire
Sound Mixing (One Hour):Game of Thrones Boardwalk Empire
Sound Mixing (Half Hour): 30 Rock Nurse Jackie
Special Visual Effects: Game of Thrones
Special Supporting Visual Effects:Vikings Banshee
Well, it looks like they went for Boardwalk Empire more than I think any of us thought. Love the House of Cards love. Overall lots of good variety in the nominations.
Reality Series:
Reality Host:
Variety Special:
Documentary Series: American Masters
Animated Program: South Park
Voice Acting:
Short-Format Animation:
Special Class Program:
Guest Actor - Drama:
Guest Actress - Drama:
Guest Actor - Comedy: Bob Newhart
Guest Actress - Comedy:
Art Direction - Multi-Camera:
Art Direction - Single-Camera:
Casting - Drama:
Casting - Comedy: 30 Rock
Cinematography - Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Cinematography - Single-Camera:
Costuming - Series:
Directing - Variety Special:
Hairstyling - Single-Camera:
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Drama:
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Comedy:
Picture Editing (Multi-Camera) - Comedy: How I Met Your Mother
Main Title Design:
Makeup: Game of Thrones
Music Composition: Downton Abbey
Sound Editing:
Sound Mixing (One Hour):
Sound Mixing (Half Hour):
Special Visual Effects: Game of Thrones
Special Supporting Visual Effects:
Well, it looks like they went for Boardwalk Empire more than I think any of us thought. Love the House of Cards love. Overall lots of good variety in the nominations.
Saturday, 14 September 2013
Emmy Deliberation ~ Creative Arts
The Creative Arts Emmy Awards are on tomorrow (well, they will actually televise them next Saturday, but the ceremony is held on Sunday). So instead of predicting them in a long, boring, tedious page, I will just predict the winner on select categories. Hope you enjoy reading.
Reality Series: Shark Tank
Reality Host: Tom Bergeron
Variety Special: Louis C.K.: Oh My God!
Documentary Series: American Masters
Animated Program: South Park
Voice Acting: Alex Borstein
Short-Format Animation: Robot Chicken
Special Class Program: 70th Golden Globe Awards
Guest Actor - Drama: Nathan Lane
Guest Actress - Drama: Jane Fonda
Guest Actor - Comedy: Bob Newhart
Guest Actress - Comedy: Elaine Stritch
Art Direction - Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Art Direction - Single-Camera: Game of Thrones
Casting - Drama: Downton Abbey
Casting - Comedy: 30 Rock
Cinematography - Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Cinematography - Single-Camera: Breaking Bad
Costuming - Series: Game of Thrones
Directing - Variety Special: Louis C.K.: Oh My God!
Hairstyling - Single-Camera: Downton Abbey
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Drama: Game of Thrones
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Comedy: 30 Rock
Picture Editing (Multi-Camera) - Comedy: How I Met Your Mother
Main Title Design: American Horror Story: Asylum
Makeup: Game of Thrones
Music Composition: Downton Abbey
Sound Editing: Breaking Bad
Sound Mixing (One Hour): Game of Thrones
Sound Mixing (Half Hour): 30 Rock
Special Visual Effects: Game of Thrones
Special Supporting Visual Effects: Vikings
Reality Series: Shark Tank
Reality Host: Tom Bergeron
Variety Special: Louis C.K.: Oh My God!
Documentary Series: American Masters
Animated Program: South Park
Voice Acting: Alex Borstein
Short-Format Animation: Robot Chicken
Special Class Program: 70th Golden Globe Awards
Guest Actor - Drama: Nathan Lane
Guest Actress - Drama: Jane Fonda
Guest Actor - Comedy: Bob Newhart
Guest Actress - Comedy: Elaine Stritch
Art Direction - Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Art Direction - Single-Camera: Game of Thrones
Casting - Drama: Downton Abbey
Casting - Comedy: 30 Rock
Cinematography - Multi-Camera: How I Met Your Mother
Cinematography - Single-Camera: Breaking Bad
Costuming - Series: Game of Thrones
Directing - Variety Special: Louis C.K.: Oh My God!
Hairstyling - Single-Camera: Downton Abbey
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Drama: Game of Thrones
Picture Editing (Single-Camera) - Comedy: 30 Rock
Picture Editing (Multi-Camera) - Comedy: How I Met Your Mother
Main Title Design: American Horror Story: Asylum
Makeup: Game of Thrones
Music Composition: Downton Abbey
Sound Editing: Breaking Bad
Sound Mixing (One Hour): Game of Thrones
Sound Mixing (Half Hour): 30 Rock
Special Visual Effects: Game of Thrones
Special Supporting Visual Effects: Vikings
Emmy Deliberation ~ Lead Actor
Sorry that I'm not doing these as often as I should. I have been just procrastinating. There will be one for series (and complete predictions) just before the ceremony as well as one for all the Creative Arts on Saturday.
Hugh Bonneville managed to break through for his performance on Downton Abbey. Always in contention from the start, Bonneville is one of those actors that if the right circumstances pull through will be something. This year, as with last year and the year before in Miniseries Actor, his work on Downton has been recognized, and the only other person on Downton who shares three consecutive nominations that is the great Maggie Smith. That being said, there's such strong competition this year that I am afraid that he's at the end of the pack at this moment.
One who is leading on the other hand is Bryan Cranston. Cranston has won a lot of times for Breaking Bad, and with the show being all the more popular by the millisecond, and with this currently being in it's final season and getting good reviews, it will still be in people's minds. Cranston is fierce, Breaking Bad is popular, it's the most relevant of all the shows. I think that it's his to lose.
The first freshman of the category is Jeff Daniels for The Newsroom. I, for one, like comedic actors doing dramatic roles and vice-versa, and it obvious that Daniels is the best part of the show. Even if the critics gave it mixed reviews, they all liked Daniels on the show. The rationale behind The Newsroom getting mixed reviews and with this being the show's first year doesn't bode well, even for Daniels. Let's hope he doesn't become the Jon Hamm of this category...
And speaking of Jon Hamm... he is constantly, episode after episode, pulling off great work on Mad Men, and the show even managed to pull off four consecutive Best Drama Series awards. And yet, Hamm is always the bridesmaid, after the bride Bryan Cranston (and I'm using those terms affectionately). Even that one year Cranston wasn't eligible, he still lost... to Kyle Chandler for the final season of Friday Night Lights. Don't get me wrong, I liked FNL as a show and Chandler himself, but Hamm, this being his sixth turn at bat, he will again be six times a loser, unless, of course, they give him one final hurrah for the final season of Mad Men next year (fingers crossed).
Damian Lewis has the tape. He literally submitted his best performance on Homeland, and he won before last year. Although I felt at the time that his win last year was a fluke, I realize now that it is possible that it could not be that at all. Lewis is constantly great, he is one of the best parts of Homeland, his episode is great. I think that he is a potential dark horse.
Breaking through the Netflix barrier, Kevin Spacey gets in for the first season of House of Cards, a series only available through the online medium. He was terrific on the show, and is a clear standout from the other actors. Spacey also has a good episode, and is fiery and mean, something that I think that the Emmy voters could eat up, but still I think you just don't mess with "the king" (that's Bryan Cranston for anyone who doesn't follow Breaking Bad).
Will Win: Bryan Cranston
Should Win: Jon Hamm!!!
Could Win: Damian Lewis
A bit of an Emmy favourite, Alec Baldwin's Jack Donaghy on 30 Rock has been beloved by television fans and by the Emmys as well. And I can see why, he is pretty hilarious. His work on 30 Rock is a career best and even if the show has somewhat declined (except for the final season), I still think that he could be on voters minds. But let's face it, he picked the wrong episode. He has basically given up, like he's just satisfied with the two Emmy wins before (who wouldn't be?), and even though they like giving shows a goodbye hug, I wouldn't count on it.
Jason Bateman was a perennial favourite back in 2004 and 2005, when Arrested Development was hot on FOX. Now, 'Arrested' is hot on Netflix, and shockingly, this is the only acting nomination the show received, granted that they could have chosen Will Arnett, Jeffrey Tambor, David Cross or Jessica Walter for their wonderfully zany characters. That, to me, puts a big damper on his odds of winning. I think that the voters are past the show, and the mixed reviews of the fourth season, to be, seals the deal.
Don Cheadle is on a show, House of Lies, that is kind of not really liked. Actually, it's alright, but I wouldn't consider it Emmy-worthy though. Cheadle, however, is good on it and has a bit of an edge that he is a movie star. This is the year of the movie star at the Emmys this year, with Robin Wright Penn and Kevin Spacey and others breaking through for their shows. Even though Cheadle won at the Golden Globes, he won't win the Emmy. That was just a fluke, or as I call it, "a Jon Cryer moment".
Normally actors who play "themselves" on a show, like Jerry Seinfeld or Larry David on Seinfeld and Curb Your Enthusiasm respectively never win or tend to do badly at the Emmys, but this year, Louis C.K. has been in as strong of a position as anyone else has ever been in. His episode submission is golden. Hilarious, but also tearjerking in some scenes. While the Emmys believe playing "yourself" is not really acting, Louis C.K. is acting in that episode. I suspect him to be a potential dark horse here for victory.
Matt LeBlanc also falls under the "playing yourself" bias (I realize after the fact that that is now giggle inducing...) with Episodes. LeBlanc was a favourite on Friends a while back, and while Episodes is still good, it's not quite the mega-hit Friends was, and to be frank his episode has him hardly in it at all even. I don't think it'll happen.
Sorry for sounding like a bit of a fanboy here, but Jim Parsons is just so funny on The Big Bang Theory. This character of Sheldon Cooper is prissy, egotistical, but absolutely enjoyable to watch every week. It is such perfect casting, and such unusual too albeit, that it fits so good, even as good I will even say, as Carroll O'Connor as Archie Bunker. This year, he got people mixed about his episode, many people, like me, think that he is funny in the episode, but others don't see the point to it. I don't think that this would apply here. He's won twice before, he's a perennial favourite, history is doomed to repeat itself, I think that if not Parsons than Louis C.K., but it is very close.
Will Win/Should Win: Jim Parsons
Could Win: Louis C.K.
Hugh Bonneville managed to break through for his performance on Downton Abbey. Always in contention from the start, Bonneville is one of those actors that if the right circumstances pull through will be something. This year, as with last year and the year before in Miniseries Actor, his work on Downton has been recognized, and the only other person on Downton who shares three consecutive nominations that is the great Maggie Smith. That being said, there's such strong competition this year that I am afraid that he's at the end of the pack at this moment.
One who is leading on the other hand is Bryan Cranston. Cranston has won a lot of times for Breaking Bad, and with the show being all the more popular by the millisecond, and with this currently being in it's final season and getting good reviews, it will still be in people's minds. Cranston is fierce, Breaking Bad is popular, it's the most relevant of all the shows. I think that it's his to lose.
The first freshman of the category is Jeff Daniels for The Newsroom. I, for one, like comedic actors doing dramatic roles and vice-versa, and it obvious that Daniels is the best part of the show. Even if the critics gave it mixed reviews, they all liked Daniels on the show. The rationale behind The Newsroom getting mixed reviews and with this being the show's first year doesn't bode well, even for Daniels. Let's hope he doesn't become the Jon Hamm of this category...
And speaking of Jon Hamm... he is constantly, episode after episode, pulling off great work on Mad Men, and the show even managed to pull off four consecutive Best Drama Series awards. And yet, Hamm is always the bridesmaid, after the bride Bryan Cranston (and I'm using those terms affectionately). Even that one year Cranston wasn't eligible, he still lost... to Kyle Chandler for the final season of Friday Night Lights. Don't get me wrong, I liked FNL as a show and Chandler himself, but Hamm, this being his sixth turn at bat, he will again be six times a loser, unless, of course, they give him one final hurrah for the final season of Mad Men next year (fingers crossed).
Damian Lewis has the tape. He literally submitted his best performance on Homeland, and he won before last year. Although I felt at the time that his win last year was a fluke, I realize now that it is possible that it could not be that at all. Lewis is constantly great, he is one of the best parts of Homeland, his episode is great. I think that he is a potential dark horse.
Breaking through the Netflix barrier, Kevin Spacey gets in for the first season of House of Cards, a series only available through the online medium. He was terrific on the show, and is a clear standout from the other actors. Spacey also has a good episode, and is fiery and mean, something that I think that the Emmy voters could eat up, but still I think you just don't mess with "the king" (that's Bryan Cranston for anyone who doesn't follow Breaking Bad).
Will Win: Bryan Cranston
Should Win: Jon Hamm!!!
Could Win: Damian Lewis
A bit of an Emmy favourite, Alec Baldwin's Jack Donaghy on 30 Rock has been beloved by television fans and by the Emmys as well. And I can see why, he is pretty hilarious. His work on 30 Rock is a career best and even if the show has somewhat declined (except for the final season), I still think that he could be on voters minds. But let's face it, he picked the wrong episode. He has basically given up, like he's just satisfied with the two Emmy wins before (who wouldn't be?), and even though they like giving shows a goodbye hug, I wouldn't count on it.
Jason Bateman was a perennial favourite back in 2004 and 2005, when Arrested Development was hot on FOX. Now, 'Arrested' is hot on Netflix, and shockingly, this is the only acting nomination the show received, granted that they could have chosen Will Arnett, Jeffrey Tambor, David Cross or Jessica Walter for their wonderfully zany characters. That, to me, puts a big damper on his odds of winning. I think that the voters are past the show, and the mixed reviews of the fourth season, to be, seals the deal.
Don Cheadle is on a show, House of Lies, that is kind of not really liked. Actually, it's alright, but I wouldn't consider it Emmy-worthy though. Cheadle, however, is good on it and has a bit of an edge that he is a movie star. This is the year of the movie star at the Emmys this year, with Robin Wright Penn and Kevin Spacey and others breaking through for their shows. Even though Cheadle won at the Golden Globes, he won't win the Emmy. That was just a fluke, or as I call it, "a Jon Cryer moment".
Normally actors who play "themselves" on a show, like Jerry Seinfeld or Larry David on Seinfeld and Curb Your Enthusiasm respectively never win or tend to do badly at the Emmys, but this year, Louis C.K. has been in as strong of a position as anyone else has ever been in. His episode submission is golden. Hilarious, but also tearjerking in some scenes. While the Emmys believe playing "yourself" is not really acting, Louis C.K. is acting in that episode. I suspect him to be a potential dark horse here for victory.
Matt LeBlanc also falls under the "playing yourself" bias (I realize after the fact that that is now giggle inducing...) with Episodes. LeBlanc was a favourite on Friends a while back, and while Episodes is still good, it's not quite the mega-hit Friends was, and to be frank his episode has him hardly in it at all even. I don't think it'll happen.
Sorry for sounding like a bit of a fanboy here, but Jim Parsons is just so funny on The Big Bang Theory. This character of Sheldon Cooper is prissy, egotistical, but absolutely enjoyable to watch every week. It is such perfect casting, and such unusual too albeit, that it fits so good, even as good I will even say, as Carroll O'Connor as Archie Bunker. This year, he got people mixed about his episode, many people, like me, think that he is funny in the episode, but others don't see the point to it. I don't think that this would apply here. He's won twice before, he's a perennial favourite, history is doomed to repeat itself, I think that if not Parsons than Louis C.K., but it is very close.
Will Win/Should Win: Jim Parsons
Could Win: Louis C.K.
Wednesday, 4 September 2013
Emmy Deliberation ~ Lead Actress
It is obvious that the Emmy people really like Connie Britton because in the past four years she has been nominated for three different shows. Twice for Friday Night Lights, once for the first season of American Horror Story, and now, this year, for the freshman year of Nashville. Throughout the year, she has always pulled it off on the show, as she has on FNL and AHS beforehand, but as with her past four nominations, I feel that the competition is simply too strong to have her win this year, especially on the show's first year. But this leads me to wonder when they will award Britton for her great work on T.V., or even if.
Claire Danes has really became the obvious frontrunner this year since she won last year for Homeland. Nominated again, Danes is arguably an even bigger Emmys darling than Britton is. When she was 16, she was nominated for "My So-Called Life" and won not too long ago for portrayal the titular role in "Temple Grandin". I would've said this year that Julianna Margulies is her biggest competition, but with her name vetoed off the list, I think that she is way out in front with no contender in sight.
...or is she? Remember any one of these ladies, including Michelle Dockery could pull a big "Jon Cryer"-esque shockeroo on us. Dockery is again nominated for Downton Abbey. While a lot of people don't think that she'll win, I have actually really liked her on the show from Day 1. I feel that if she does win, we may be staring down the barrel of a Downton sweep. While I suspect that this could happen, I don't think that Dockery has enough to beat out Danes at this moment.
Vera Farmiga broke through the genre bias and got a win for the pilot episode of Bates Motel, playing Norman Bates' mother Norma. Farmiga is a bit of a queen of thriller movies and series, what with The Conjuring being a bit of a success story at the box office and by critics this year. With this kind of obscure nomination here, I feel that it could potentially spoil. Lots of people are saying that Farmiga could be the dark horse in the competition, and in all honesty, I could that it could happen.
Mad Men is not the boat to be in at this point, and sadly Elisabeth Moss is in it this year. The anomaly of the show winning four years in a row for Drama Series but not one actor ever winning any acting nomination is mind-boggling. Moss is as appealing as ever on the show, as is the other "Mad Women" on the show, and unless some major sea change occurs in the predictions, I don't see Moss winning, even though she is obviously the most deserving of any of the seven women.
Scandal isn't my cup of tea, and I have made no secret of my disdain for Kerry Washington as an actress. I did have my doubts at the predicting stage, but now I fully think that Washington could steal the award away. I guess that I do kinda sorta owe Washington an apology for doubting her, but she is good on the show, and if the Emmys feel strongly enough for the show, then while her win would be disappointing, it would also be understandable.
Robin Wright Penn is a movie star turned T.V. star with her playing Kevin Spacey's wife in House of Cards. She is a delight on House of Cards, and other than Spacey himself, the best part of the show. I think that she could upset if the show manages to survive for a few more years, but at this point, Wright should just be content with the nomination.
Will Win/Should Win: Claire Danes
Could Win: Kerry Washington, Vera Farmiga
Should Have Been Nominated: Julianna Margulies
Nominated for the final year of Enlightened, Laura Dern has always been great on the show. It's a shame that she hasn't been honored in the other years of Enlightened, but Dern's nomination is certainly intriguing here. I keep close watch on these "surprise" nominations, which could potientally turn into "surprise" wins. Dern faces big competition, but she could pull it off.
Lena Dunham was the it-girl last year. Her show Girls, in my mind, broke ground and pushed the envelope, even by HBO standards. Now the show is just meh according to the general public (not to me of course, I still like the show). Dunham, of course, is the strongest point of the show, be it her writing, directing or acting. A delight from start to finish, but one that may not be sunny come awards night.
Edie Falco actually won this category for Nurse Jackie back in 2010, coincidentally also up against Tina Fey (for 30 Rock) and Julia Louis-Dreyfus (for New Adventures of Old Christine). Falco is certainly great on the show, and it's obvious that the Emmys like her still even now years after she won, but I don't think another win will be forthcoming in her future.
Tina Fey also won this award for 30 Rock one year, and the work on the show needs no introduction. Be it writing or acting on the show, Fey has shown us for seven spectacular seasons that 30 Rock is a force to be reckoned with. While I feel that she doesn't quite have enough to win again up against other behemoths on this list, I don't think it is that far-fetched that the possibility could still happen
But they all dwarf in comparison to Julia Louis-Dreyfus this year. Winning for Old Christine and Seinfeld before, she is the best part of Veep. While I find the show just to be good and not spectacular, Louis-Dreyfus continues to astonish on this show. Maybe it's me still loving her as Elaine Benes on Seinfeld or Christine Campbell on Old Christine, or it may the fact that she and the Emmys have this weird love affair, I think that she is the frontrunner in this content... and by far!
But alas, the most deserving in this category is Amy Poehler for Parks and Recreation. I am a big fan of her and of the show Parks and Rec. I think it's just such a great underrated show. No one keeps knocking it out of the park the way Poehler has for Parks and Rec episode after episode after episode. I look forward to the next episodes of the show with open arms, but always a bridesmaid, never a bride for her. Four nominations, and sadly four losses. So sad.
Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus
Should Win: Amy Poehler
Could Win: Poehler, Laura Dern or Tina Fey
Should Have Been Nominated: Zooey Deschanel (or Wendy Schaal for American Dad!)
Claire Danes has really became the obvious frontrunner this year since she won last year for Homeland. Nominated again, Danes is arguably an even bigger Emmys darling than Britton is. When she was 16, she was nominated for "My So-Called Life" and won not too long ago for portrayal the titular role in "Temple Grandin". I would've said this year that Julianna Margulies is her biggest competition, but with her name vetoed off the list, I think that she is way out in front with no contender in sight.
...or is she? Remember any one of these ladies, including Michelle Dockery could pull a big "Jon Cryer"-esque shockeroo on us. Dockery is again nominated for Downton Abbey. While a lot of people don't think that she'll win, I have actually really liked her on the show from Day 1. I feel that if she does win, we may be staring down the barrel of a Downton sweep. While I suspect that this could happen, I don't think that Dockery has enough to beat out Danes at this moment.
Vera Farmiga broke through the genre bias and got a win for the pilot episode of Bates Motel, playing Norman Bates' mother Norma. Farmiga is a bit of a queen of thriller movies and series, what with The Conjuring being a bit of a success story at the box office and by critics this year. With this kind of obscure nomination here, I feel that it could potentially spoil. Lots of people are saying that Farmiga could be the dark horse in the competition, and in all honesty, I could that it could happen.
Mad Men is not the boat to be in at this point, and sadly Elisabeth Moss is in it this year. The anomaly of the show winning four years in a row for Drama Series but not one actor ever winning any acting nomination is mind-boggling. Moss is as appealing as ever on the show, as is the other "Mad Women" on the show, and unless some major sea change occurs in the predictions, I don't see Moss winning, even though she is obviously the most deserving of any of the seven women.
Scandal isn't my cup of tea, and I have made no secret of my disdain for Kerry Washington as an actress. I did have my doubts at the predicting stage, but now I fully think that Washington could steal the award away. I guess that I do kinda sorta owe Washington an apology for doubting her, but she is good on the show, and if the Emmys feel strongly enough for the show, then while her win would be disappointing, it would also be understandable.
Robin Wright Penn is a movie star turned T.V. star with her playing Kevin Spacey's wife in House of Cards. She is a delight on House of Cards, and other than Spacey himself, the best part of the show. I think that she could upset if the show manages to survive for a few more years, but at this point, Wright should just be content with the nomination.
Will Win/Should Win: Claire Danes
Could Win: Kerry Washington, Vera Farmiga
Should Have Been Nominated: Julianna Margulies
Nominated for the final year of Enlightened, Laura Dern has always been great on the show. It's a shame that she hasn't been honored in the other years of Enlightened, but Dern's nomination is certainly intriguing here. I keep close watch on these "surprise" nominations, which could potientally turn into "surprise" wins. Dern faces big competition, but she could pull it off.
Lena Dunham was the it-girl last year. Her show Girls, in my mind, broke ground and pushed the envelope, even by HBO standards. Now the show is just meh according to the general public (not to me of course, I still like the show). Dunham, of course, is the strongest point of the show, be it her writing, directing or acting. A delight from start to finish, but one that may not be sunny come awards night.
Edie Falco actually won this category for Nurse Jackie back in 2010, coincidentally also up against Tina Fey (for 30 Rock) and Julia Louis-Dreyfus (for New Adventures of Old Christine). Falco is certainly great on the show, and it's obvious that the Emmys like her still even now years after she won, but I don't think another win will be forthcoming in her future.
Tina Fey also won this award for 30 Rock one year, and the work on the show needs no introduction. Be it writing or acting on the show, Fey has shown us for seven spectacular seasons that 30 Rock is a force to be reckoned with. While I feel that she doesn't quite have enough to win again up against other behemoths on this list, I don't think it is that far-fetched that the possibility could still happen
But they all dwarf in comparison to Julia Louis-Dreyfus this year. Winning for Old Christine and Seinfeld before, she is the best part of Veep. While I find the show just to be good and not spectacular, Louis-Dreyfus continues to astonish on this show. Maybe it's me still loving her as Elaine Benes on Seinfeld or Christine Campbell on Old Christine, or it may the fact that she and the Emmys have this weird love affair, I think that she is the frontrunner in this content... and by far!
But alas, the most deserving in this category is Amy Poehler for Parks and Recreation. I am a big fan of her and of the show Parks and Rec. I think it's just such a great underrated show. No one keeps knocking it out of the park the way Poehler has for Parks and Rec episode after episode after episode. I look forward to the next episodes of the show with open arms, but always a bridesmaid, never a bride for her. Four nominations, and sadly four losses. So sad.
Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus
Should Win: Amy Poehler
Could Win: Poehler, Laura Dern or Tina Fey
Should Have Been Nominated: Zooey Deschanel (or Wendy Schaal for American Dad!)
Sunday, 1 September 2013
Emmy Deliberation ~ Miniseries Supporting Actor/Actress
Sorry I haven't done these in a few days, I have been busy lately.
Scott Bakula is in my mind, not the best supporting player in Behind the Candelabra, nor the one I would have gave the nomination if I were running the show. That being said, Bakula was good and had a good character in there. I don't think that he could break through as a winner though.
James Cromwell has got four career nominations for an Emmy, including this one, and not a single win. This year, it could finally be his year for his performance in American Horror Story: Asylum. While the show is genre, and the genre bias could still play here, the acting is just so good. Especially with Cromwell, the show benefits from chilling characters played thrillingly by great actors. The fact that he never won, and that he is so frightening on the show could be enough to give him his first, and well deserved Emmy.
For The Big C's final "season", John Benjamin Hickey broke through when he never was able to do before. He got a Supporting Actor nom for The Big C: Hereafter. While I liked the show, I don't think that he will win. In fact, I have him in last place right now. His nomination was a shocker, and while I actually liked Gabourey Sidibe in "Hereafter" better than Hickey, it is nice to see that the Emmys like him and his character enough to make it, but sadly I think that he will only get a nomination at this point.
Although I think his performance was overrated, Peter Mullan is indeed good in "Top of the Lake" playing on the Sundance Channel. The show was riveting and entrancing but I found Mullan to be the weakest actor on the field. Again, I like that he made into a nomination in the first place, but unless they really don't want to go for the two American Horror Story actors, he's a good alternate.
Zachary Quinto was in my mind, the best male supporting actor on American Horror Story: Asylum this year. He's terrifying, quite a pleasure to see onscreen. He is actually, in my mind, better than Cromwell this year, just because his character is so good, and his acting is so good. He has even become a bit of a celebrity due to the successes of the two Star Trek movies, so certainly people will recognize him and his role. I think that if they don't give it to Cromwell, than Quinto is a magnificent alternate.
Will Win: James Cromwell
Should Win: Zachary Quinto
Could Win: Peter Mullan
Should Have Been Nominated: Jeffrey Tambor
Ellen Burstyn is the best part of Political Animals other than Sigourney Weaver of course. She is a legend, and quite excellent in the role. But Political Animals has been kinda-sorta forgotten at this point, nor does it have the prestige of other Miniseries/TV Movie, but I suspect that she could still get votes just because she's a legend, and because some people may be turned off my American Horror Story's more genre-based stuff.
Sarah Paulson is the best female supporting performance on AHS: Asylum this year. Truly something to withhold. I think that she would have enough to pull through. There is the possibility that the bias on the fact that AHS is very genre oriented, but I think that that will not factor, because Paulson is just so good.
Charlotte Rampling is the big surprise of this year. For BBC One's "Restless", it's a show that I don't watch and that I wasn't aware of. While this surprise is not the BBC America surprise that most people expected (that being Tatiana Maslany for Orphan Black), I think that people could vote for her as a consolation prize, but even this is unlikely. Sorry, Rampling. Hope you are happy with the nomination.
In all honesty, The Girl is not my favourite show, Imelda Staunton, on the other hand, is actually quite good on the show. The voters could recognize Staunton's name and realize that she's a legendary name in the industry, which could benefit votes, but other than Rampling, I think that she is also pretty low down there.
Alfre Woodard, much like Burstyn, is an Emmy legend, a bit of the Meryl Streep of the Emmy world. Her role in Steel Magnolias, the show, by the way, is overrated, is a good performance. The fact that she is Woodard, in my mind, could give her a big edge in the competition. Again, the genre bias could come into play here, but I still think that Paulson has the highest likelihood of winning.
Will Win/Should Win: Sarah Paulson
Could Win: Ellen Burstyn or Alfre Woodard
Should Have Been Nominated: Lily Rabe
Scott Bakula is in my mind, not the best supporting player in Behind the Candelabra, nor the one I would have gave the nomination if I were running the show. That being said, Bakula was good and had a good character in there. I don't think that he could break through as a winner though.
James Cromwell has got four career nominations for an Emmy, including this one, and not a single win. This year, it could finally be his year for his performance in American Horror Story: Asylum. While the show is genre, and the genre bias could still play here, the acting is just so good. Especially with Cromwell, the show benefits from chilling characters played thrillingly by great actors. The fact that he never won, and that he is so frightening on the show could be enough to give him his first, and well deserved Emmy.
For The Big C's final "season", John Benjamin Hickey broke through when he never was able to do before. He got a Supporting Actor nom for The Big C: Hereafter. While I liked the show, I don't think that he will win. In fact, I have him in last place right now. His nomination was a shocker, and while I actually liked Gabourey Sidibe in "Hereafter" better than Hickey, it is nice to see that the Emmys like him and his character enough to make it, but sadly I think that he will only get a nomination at this point.
Although I think his performance was overrated, Peter Mullan is indeed good in "Top of the Lake" playing on the Sundance Channel. The show was riveting and entrancing but I found Mullan to be the weakest actor on the field. Again, I like that he made into a nomination in the first place, but unless they really don't want to go for the two American Horror Story actors, he's a good alternate.
Zachary Quinto was in my mind, the best male supporting actor on American Horror Story: Asylum this year. He's terrifying, quite a pleasure to see onscreen. He is actually, in my mind, better than Cromwell this year, just because his character is so good, and his acting is so good. He has even become a bit of a celebrity due to the successes of the two Star Trek movies, so certainly people will recognize him and his role. I think that if they don't give it to Cromwell, than Quinto is a magnificent alternate.
Will Win: James Cromwell
Should Win: Zachary Quinto
Could Win: Peter Mullan
Should Have Been Nominated: Jeffrey Tambor
Ellen Burstyn is the best part of Political Animals other than Sigourney Weaver of course. She is a legend, and quite excellent in the role. But Political Animals has been kinda-sorta forgotten at this point, nor does it have the prestige of other Miniseries/TV Movie, but I suspect that she could still get votes just because she's a legend, and because some people may be turned off my American Horror Story's more genre-based stuff.
Sarah Paulson is the best female supporting performance on AHS: Asylum this year. Truly something to withhold. I think that she would have enough to pull through. There is the possibility that the bias on the fact that AHS is very genre oriented, but I think that that will not factor, because Paulson is just so good.
Charlotte Rampling is the big surprise of this year. For BBC One's "Restless", it's a show that I don't watch and that I wasn't aware of. While this surprise is not the BBC America surprise that most people expected (that being Tatiana Maslany for Orphan Black), I think that people could vote for her as a consolation prize, but even this is unlikely. Sorry, Rampling. Hope you are happy with the nomination.
In all honesty, The Girl is not my favourite show, Imelda Staunton, on the other hand, is actually quite good on the show. The voters could recognize Staunton's name and realize that she's a legendary name in the industry, which could benefit votes, but other than Rampling, I think that she is also pretty low down there.
Alfre Woodard, much like Burstyn, is an Emmy legend, a bit of the Meryl Streep of the Emmy world. Her role in Steel Magnolias, the show, by the way, is overrated, is a good performance. The fact that she is Woodard, in my mind, could give her a big edge in the competition. Again, the genre bias could come into play here, but I still think that Paulson has the highest likelihood of winning.
Will Win/Should Win: Sarah Paulson
Could Win: Ellen Burstyn or Alfre Woodard
Should Have Been Nominated: Lily Rabe
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